Financial Statements
Notes to the EEV results
1. Methodology
1.1 Basis of preparation
The EEV results presented in this document have been prepared in accordance with the European Insurers' Chief Financial Officers Forum's EEV Principles issued in May 2004 and the Additional Guidance issued in 2005. They provide supplementary information for the year ended 31 December 2007.
The EEV basis of reporting is designed to recognise profit as it is earned over the term of the policy. The total profit recognised over the lifetime of the policy is the same as that recognised under the IFRS basis of reporting, but the timing of recognition is different.
The reported embedded value provides an estimate of the value of shareholders' interest in the covered business, excluding any value that may be generated from future new business. This value comprises the sum of the shareholders' net worth, the provision for future corporate costs and the value of existing business. The shareholders' net worth is the net assets attributable to shareholders, and is represented by the sum of required capital and free surplus. The value of existing business is the present value of the projected stream of future distributable profits available to shareholders from the existing business at the valuation date, on a best estimate basis allowing for risk, adjusted for the cost of holding required capital.
The supplementary information should be read in conjunction with the Group's IFRS results. These contain information regarding the Group's financial statements prepared in accordance with IFRS issued by the International Accounting Standards Board and adopted for use in the EU.
The results for covered business as reported under EEV principles are combined with the results for the remainder of the business reported in accordance with IFRS, except where EEV principles dictate otherwise. In particular the EEV principles have been applied to reflect Step-up Tier one Insurance Capital Securities (STICS) as debt rather than equity.
In addition, a pro forma embedded value is reported showing ordinary shareholders' funds on an EEV basis adjusted to include the F&C listed subsidiary at market value.
Shareholders' net assets on an EEV basis for the Group consist of the following:
- Life & Pensions net assets;
- the Group's share of its investment in the Asset Management business (including the net pension liability) on an IFRS basis;
- corporate net assets;
- the net pension asset of FPPS on an IAS 19 basis;
- the provision for future corporate costs;
- the present value of future profits attributable to shareholders from existing policies of the Life & Pensions business.
The shareholders' net worth includes the corporate debt of the Group. This debt is valued at market value, consistent with the EEV guidance.
EEV and other balance sheet items denominated in foreign currencies have been translated to sterling using the appropriate closing exchange rate. The new business contribution and other income statement items have been translated using an average exchange rate for the relevant period.
1.2 Covered business
The covered business incorporates the Life & Pensions business defined as long-term business by UK and overseas regulators.
The Asset Management business, IFA distribution businesses and the Asset Hub are excluded from the definition of covered business. For the purposes of segmentation the IFA distribution businesses and the Asset Hub are included within UK Life & Pensions.
1.3 Allowance for risk
The allowance for risk in the shareholder cash flows is a key feature of the EEV Principles. The EEV guidance sets out three main areas available to allow for risk in an embedded value:
- the risk discount rate;
- the allowance for the cost of financial options and guarantees;
- the cost of holding both prudential reserves and any additional required capital.
The market-consistent approach has been used to allow for risk in all three areas.
1.4 Deriving risk discount rates
A market-consistent embedded value has been calculated for each product line by valuing the cash flows in line with the prices of similar cash flows traded on the open market.
In principle, each cash flow is valued using the discount rate consistent with that applied to such a cash flow in the capital markets. For example, an equity cash flow is valued using an equity risk discount rate, and a bond cash flow is valued using a bond risk discount rate. If a higher return is assumed for equities, the equity cash flow is discounted at this higher rate.
In practice, for liabilities where the payouts are either independent or move linearly with market movements, a method known as the 'certainty equivalent approach' has been applied whereby all assumed assets earn the risk-free rate and all cash flows are discounted using the risk-free rate. This gives the same result as applying the method in the previous paragraph.
A market-consistent cost of financial options and guarantees and a market-consistent cost of holding required capital have also been calculated. The cost of financial options and guarantees includes additional allowance for non-market risk within FPLP's With-Profits Fund. An additional provision has been made for operational risks.
These are described in more detail below.
For presentational purposes, a set of risk discount rates has been derived for each product line, and for in-force and new business, by calculating the risk discount rate under a traditional embedded value approach that gives the same value as that from the market-consistent embedded value determined above. These derived risk discount rates are a function of the assumptions used (eg equity risk premium and corporate bond spreads). However, as the market-consistent approach is used, these assumptions do not impact the level of embedded value: a higher equity risk premium results in an exactly compensating higher risk discount rate.
1.5 Financial options and guarantees
The material financial options and guarantees are those in the FPLP With-Profits Fund, in the form of the benefits guaranteed to policyholders and the guaranteed annuity rates associated with certain policies.
The risk to shareholders is that the assets of the With-Profits Fund are insufficient to meet these guarantees. While shareholders are entitled to only a small share of profits in the With-Profits Fund (via one ninth of the cost of bonus), they can potentially be exposed to the full cost if fund assets are insufficient to meet policyholder guarantees. The time value cost of this asymmetry, known as the burnthrough cost, is modelled stochastically, as it will only occur in some adverse scenarios. The burnthrough time value cost is calculated as the difference between the average value of shareholder cash flows under a number of market-consistent scenarios, and the intrinsic shareholder value using risk-free assumptions included within the deterministic model.
The burnthrough cost has been assessed using a stochastic model derived from the current Realistic Balance Sheet (RBS) model. This model has been calibrated to market conditions at the valuation date. Allowance has been made under the different scenarios for management actions, such as altered investment strategy, consistent with the RBS model. The burnthrough cost would be markedly higher without the hedging activities currently undertaken.
The burnthrough cost at 31 December 2007 of £48m (2006: £50m), is split between £23m (2006: £30m) market risk and £25m (2006: £20m) non-market risk. The non-market risks include lapses, annuitant longevity, and operational risk within the With-Profits Fund. The allowance for non-market risks is made by consideration of the impact of extreme scenarios from our economic capital model.
Significant amounts of new with-profits business are no longer written and the guarantee levels offered are lower, hence there is no material impact of the burnthrough cost in the contribution to profits of new business.
1.6 Required capital and the cost of capital
Required capital is set at the greater of regulatory capital and requirements arising from internal capital management policies, which include economic risk capital objectives. The economic risk capital is determined from internal models, based on the Company's risk appetite.
In aggregate, required capital is higher than regulatory requirements by approximately £200m (2006: £200m). Capital requirements under EEV amounted to £668m (2006: £652m).
The EEV includes a deduction for the cost of holding the required capital. Frictional costs, being the tangible costs of holding capital, have been allowed for on a market-consistent basis. These consist of the total taxation and investment expenses incurred on locked-in shareholder capital and reflect the cost to an investor of holding an asset through investment in a life company, rather than investing in the asset directly.
No adjustment has been made for any agency cost, this representing the potential markdown to value that investors will apply because they do not have direct control over their capital. Any adjustment would be subjective and different investors will have their own views of what adjustment, if any, should be made.
1.7 Non-market risk
An investor can diversify away the uncertainty around the return on non-market risks, such as mortality and expenses. Hence in a shareholder valuation the allowance for non-market risk is made through the appropriate choice of best estimate experience assumptions and the impact of non-market risks on the level, and hence the cost, of capital.
In choosing best estimate assumptions the allowance for non-market risk has been reviewed. However, best estimate assumptions may fail to represent the full impact on shareholder value where the impact of fluctuations in experience is asymmetric; that is where adverse experience has a higher impact on shareholder value than favourable experience. The areas identified as having such asymmetries are the burnthrough cost and operational risk.
The impact of variations in non-market risks to shareholders of meeting guarantees of the FPLP With-Profits fund have been taken into account in the burnthrough cost calculation.
In addition, a provision of £87m (2006: £85m) has been set up for operational risks in the shareholders' funds. This provision has been calculated by comparing the mean impact of variations in operational risk, as modelled in the economic capital calculations, with the existing allowance for operational risk in specific accounting provisions and embedded value projection assumptions.
This provision of £87m is equivalent to a 0.4% pa (2006: 0.4% pa) increase in the risk discount rate for UK Life & Pensions business and 0.8% pa (2006: 0.8% pa) for International Life & Pensions business. This impacts both embedded value and the contribution from new business.
1.8 Expenses
The EEV guidance requires companies to actively review expense assumptions, and include an allowance for holding company (corporate) costs and service company costs.
(a) Corporate costs
Corporate costs relate to those costs incurred at the corporate level that are not directly attributable to the Life & Pensions or the Asset Management businesses.
Under EEV methodology, corporate costs are classified as either ongoing costs or development and one-off costs. For 2007, £12m (2006: £6m) of corporate costs were regular ongoing corporate costs and £2m (2006: £7m) were development or one-off costs. The ongoing corporate costs have increased to include corporate costs in relation to group businesses, previously held outside EEV, and have been capitalised under EEV. The impact is a provision of £97m (2006: £47m).
(b) Service costs
Service company costs are included in the EEV expense assumption calculations. Included within these are the fees charged by F&C for investment management services to the covered Life & Pensions business.
Profits of IFA subsidiaries in respect of covered Life & Pensions business are not capitalised under the EEV methodology as those subsidiaries are separate cash generating units and run autonomously. Instead, these profits, which are immaterial, are brought into the consolidated income statement on an IFRS basis.
F&C service fee profits in respect of covered Life & Pensions business are not capitalised under the EEV methodology, as F&C is a separate business segment within the Group and the arrangement between F&C and the Life & Pensions business is on an arm's length basis. Instead, these profits, approximately £11m (2006: £11m) are brought into the consolidated income statement on an IFRS basis, and F&C is brought into the pro forma embedded value at market value.
Productivity gains have been assumed within the EEV in respect of International business in anticipation of future business growth. The Lombard EEV has been reduced by £15m (2006: £13m) for a projected expense overrun for the period to 2013.
(c) Development costs
Development costs reported in this year's financial statements represent investments made to improve future EEV profits.
In the future development costs will only include costs related to developing wholly new products or entering wholly new markets. As a consequence future costs of £20m per annum that would otherwise have been treated as development costs have been capitalised and reclassified as maintenance expenses.
1.9 New business
New business within the covered business includes:
- premiums from the sale of new contracts;
- payments on recurring single premium contracts, including Department for Work and Pensions rebate premiums, except existing stakeholder-style pensions business where, if a regular pattern in the receipt of premiums for individuals has been established, the regular payment is treated as a renewal of an existing contract and not new business;
- non-contractual increments on existing policies; and
- new entrants in the group pensions business.
The EEV new business definition is consistent with the quarterly New Business disclosure.